Regular Season Team Stats and Playoff Success
Yesterday HabsEyesOnThePrize.com had a post on the importance of fenwick come playoff time over the past 5 seasons. It is definitely worth a look so go check it out. In the post they look at FF% in...
View ArticleTips for using Hockey Fancy Stats
I often get asked questions about hockey analytics, hockey fancy stats, how to use them, what they mean, etc. and there are plenty of good places to find definitions of various hockey stats but...
View ArticleMore stats added to stats.hockeyanalysis
Stats.hockeyanalysis.com has just gotten even better! Several people have asked why I have zone start adjusted stats for team stats and it is a good question. The answer to that is that it was just...
View ArticleHome vs Road QoC
Now that I have added home and road stats to stats.hockeyanalysis.com I can take a look at how quality of competition differs when the team is at home vs when they are on the road. In theory because...
View ArticleYet another usage statistic
Even though I think the idea of ‘usage’ and ‘tough minutes’ is a vastly over stated factor in an individual players statistics they are interesting to look at as it gives us an indication of how a...
View ArticleTyler Bozak by the numbers
If you follow me on twitter you know I am not a fan of Tyler Bozak and I have written about him in the past. As a Leaf fan I want to keep writing about his poor play because I really do not want to see...
View ArticleWho are drags on the Maple Leafs possession game
Even though I am a proponent of shot quality and the idea that the percentages matter (shooting and save percentage) puck control and possession are still an important part of the game and the Maple...
View ArticleFurther investigation into impact of zone starts
Tyler Dellow has a post at mc79hockey.com looking at zone starts and defensemen and if you read it the clear conclusion is that zone starts seem to matter quite a bit. In the third chart you can see...
View ArticleFace offs and zone starts, is one more important than the other?
I brought this issue up on twitter today because it got me thinking. Many hockey analytics dismiss face off winning % as a skill that has much value but many of the same people also claim that zone...
View ArticleDion Phaneuf when protecting a lead vs when playing catch up
After last weeks untimely pinch by Dion Phaneuf in game 4 that led to an overtime goal and the Bruins taking a 3-1 lead in the first round series there was a lot of evaluation of Phaneuf as a...
View ArticleEstimating actual randomness in goal data
If you have been following the discussion between Eric T and I you will know that there has been a rigorous discussion/debate over where hockey analytics is at, where it is going, the benefits of...
View ArticleMeasuring persistence, randomness, and true talent
In Rob Vollman’s Hockey Abstract book he talks about the persistence and its importance when it comes to a particular statistics having value in hockey analytics. For something to qualify as the key to...
View ArticleAre coaches any good at identifying defensive players?
A while back I came up with a stat which at the time I called LT Index which is essentially the percentage of a players teams ice time when leading that the player is on the ice for divided by the...
View ArticleBeing honest about “possession” stats as a predictive tool
I often feel that I am the sole defender of goal based hockey analyitics in a world dominated by shot attempt (corsi) based analytics. In recent weeks I have often heard the pro-corsi crowd cite...
View ArticleWOWY Analysis of Umberger for Hartnell trade
More often than not the first thing I look at when I want to evaluate a player is their WOWY stats to see if the player boosts the performance of their teammates or suppress it when he is on the ice....
View ArticleIntroducing “Rush” shots
I have been pondering doing this for a while and over the past few days I finally got around to it. I have had a theory for a while that an average shot resulting from a rush up the ice is more...
View ArticleRush Shots Leading vs Trailing and Home vs Road
Yesterday I introduced the concept of rush shots which are basically any shot we can identify as being a shot taken subsequent to a rush up the ice which can be determined by the location of previous...
View ArticleRush Shot Save Percentage
I have written a couple of posts (here and here) on rush shots as it relates to shooting percentages and I investigate this further at a later date. First though, I wanted to take a look at save...
View ArticleLeafs, Kings and Devils – Rush goals and shooting percentage
Tyler Dellow has an interesting post on differences between the Kings and Leafs offensive production. He comes at the problem from a slightly different angle than I have explored in my rush shot series...
View ArticleRush Shots and Defensive Zone Play of Maple Leaf Defensemen
The other day over at PensionPlanPuppets.com there was a post by Draglikepull looking at zone exits by Maple Leaf defensemen for the first half of last season. If you haven’t seen it yet, definitely go...
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